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Payback period (CAC payback period)

The payback period is how many months of a customer's payments it takes to cover what you spent to win them: CAC divided by what they pay each month.

Worked example (made-up numbers)

Customers from your ads cost $100 each (CAC) and pay $20 a month (ARPA). Payback is $100 ÷ $20 = 5 months.

From a newsletter sponsorship, customers cost $300 and pay the same $20: payback is 15 months. If customers typically stay about a year, the newsletter never pays back.

Why it matters when you’re starting out

LTV:CAC says whether a channel is worth it in the end. Payback says how long your money is gone before it comes back. When you’re paying for ads out of savings, a channel that pays back in three months lets you reinvest four times a year; one that pays back in eighteen months can run you out of cash while looking profitable on paper.

It also sets a limit: if customers usually stay eight months, any channel with a payback longer than that loses money on the average customer, however good its signup numbers look.

How to measure it

  1. Work out CAC per channel: spend divided by paying customers.
  2. Work out what those customers pay per month on average (ARPA), in the same currency.
  3. Divide CAC by ARPA.
  4. Compare the result with how long customers stay, which follows from your churn rate.

A stricter version uses gross margin instead of revenue (what’s left after payment fees and hosting), which lengthens payback a little; for a small software product the difference is usually modest.

In Nordva Launch

The Insights sources table shows LTV:CAC per source, and its tooltip shows the payback in months, from recorded spend and the customers Launch traced to each source in Stripe. It needs the Indie plan.

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